This Memorial Day marks a threshold moment in the pandemic — and we should anticipate better days as the nation starts reopening. Most states have lifted mask mandates and capacity restrictions in response to rising vaccination rates, falling case counts and
guidance from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention that deemed it safe for the majority of fully vaccinated people to take off their masks in most outdoor or indoor settings.
But in Mississippi, only 35% of adults are fully vaccinated. In Alabama, it’s 37%. In Arkansas, Georgia, Idaho, Tennessee, West Virginia, and Wyoming, they’re all
at or under 43%.
Ever since the vaccine rollout started, the US has obsessed over herd immunity, or
the idea that when enough people become immune to Covid-19 — whether through infection or vaccination — the risk to those without immunity becomes negligible. Estimates for achieving this nebulous goal
vary widely, but states are clearly on different trajectories, and disparities in vaccination rates are sometimes even more stark at the local level.
While the US is doing well on the whole, ultimately what matters is how many people have had Covid-19 and how many are fully vaccinated in each community. As such, it is long past time to retire the idea of a national herd immunity and instead focus on local case levels and vaccine coverage.
At this point, it’s not enough to simply say, “Get vaccinated.” Although lack of supply in the US is no longer an issue, access and trust still are. A new Kaiser Health News
analysis of the 42 states reporting racial and ethnic breakdowns of vaccine recipients offers a compelling portrait of the challenges ahead. Some populations hit hardest by Covid-19 still have among the lowest vaccination rates: only 22% of Black Americans and 29% of Hispanics have been vaccinated nationwide, compared with 33% of White Americans. Vaccination rates for Black Americans trail that of Whites in nearly every state.
On the other hand, American Indian and Alaskan Native people, who have also
suffered disproportionately from Covid-19, have the highest vaccination rates at 45%. But there are stark differences depending on where they live. More complete data would allow us to identify not only success stories but also areas of need.
Take my home state of
New Jersey, for example, where 60% of the adult population is fully vaccinated. This is one of the highest percentages of any state in the country, but the number doesn’t reflect conditions across different communities. In Princeton, a predominantly White community where the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation is located,
66% of the adult population is fully vaccinated; in Trenton, a predominately Black and Latino city about 14 miles away,
it’s 32%. This difference reflects broader health inequities and disparities between these locales: residents of Princeton, on average, live 14 years longer than Trenton residents, according to an analysis by Virginia Commonwealth University’s Center on Society and Health. The reasons for these differences are numerous and require specific actions, but the point is, state level data tell an incomplete story.
Such community level challenges have been further exacerbated by politics. People have been forced to reconcile politically driven decisions that tell them one thing with the public health science that tells them another. States that are
forgoing mask requirements in schools, for instance, are substituting political judgments for scientific ones. After all, most older children are not yet vaccinated, and those younger than 12 won’t be eligible for at least several months. This consideration must be reflected in how we reopen schools, businesses, places of worship and other establishments. It will not be easy balancing the freedoms of the fully vaccinated with our duty to protect those who are still unvaccinated, but we must be up to the task.
Too often, though, we take a simplistic and myopic view of health and progress in America, touting national numbers while neglecting community needs at the local level. With unemployment, the
overall national number masks higher rates in
communities of color. With health insurance coverage, the laudable progress of the Affordable Care Act has not eliminated the gaps in underserved communities;
that work continues. And today’s red-hot housing market signals growth and prosperity in many zip codes, while
safe and affordable housing remains out of reach in others. For each of these examples, the data tell a different story when we take a closer look at different communities and break down figures along race, ethnicity, gender, disability, and other factors.